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Miner Willy
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I don't think Nadal will be challenging for the title, he might go deep but if Djokovic is absent I think the most likely contenders are Medvedev and Zverev based on last seasons performance (a safe and boring bet I know), but you never know the form after the off season. I don't think Nadal is ready though, he lost to Andy in a warm up tourny and I think he will be focussing on maintaining ranking points for RG which will be his main goal as it always is.

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6 minutes ago, Minion said:

I don't think Nadal will be challenging for the title, he might go deep but if Djokovic is absent I think the most likely contenders are Medvedev and Zverev based on last seasons performance (a safe and boring bet I know), but you never know the form after the off season. I don't think Nadal is ready though, he lost to Andy in a warm up tourny and I think he will be focussing on maintaining ranking points for RG which will be his main goal as it always is.

 

Yeah, agree. I don't really think Nadal can win it. But I'd like him to have a run. I think Zverev and Medvedev are the clear standouts, but it's certainly a tournament with potential for a breakout from someone like Tsitsipas, Rublev or Berretini.

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Not that I have any sympathy for him or think he should be in the country, but kicking him out after he's been wandering around freely and unmasked for a week maybe slightly undermines the public health justification. It's genuinely hard to imagine how the various Australian authorities involved could have done a much worse job of handling this.

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2 hours ago, Minion said:

Lol that's incredible but one has to wonder how and why he was given a visa in the first place. But yes glad common sense prevailed.

 

Two health panels independent of the Government granted him the exemption, one commissioned by Tennis Australia and the other by the state of Victoria. Federal rules and the Immigration Minister overrule them.

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He's looking great at the moment, but he is going to stymie his own run again if he's still grinding out 5 setters every time. Of course, it's not that Basilashvili is anything like an easy match, and going in on a wildcard, rather than a ranking that represents his level, is always going to make life tougher.

 

Hope that Raducanu makes a solid start later and gives herself something to work from. Being billed as the headline match for her opener - again - is certainly not going to help with the pressure and I fear that it's going to be tough to recover from another slow start. I feel like a win could set her on the way to a solid run but it's very difficult when she has just played so few competitive matches since the US Open, and even those she has managed haven't gone well. Fingers crossed anyway.

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I dunno, I think winning matches like this is why he's here. The days where he can roll past guys ranked 30 in the world, and think about conserving energy while doing so, are in the past. It feels like the game has moved on a bit and Murray just doesn't have the natural power to take those guys on without doing an awful lot of running. It makes what he's doing even more impressive really, but it will be very interesting to see if he can keep it much shorter against a lower ranked player next round.

 

I think there's very little chance Raducanu beats Stephens, but then I do have a soft spot for Stephens, who is maybe my favourite player on the women's side. She's such a nice player: I saw her at Wimbledon three or four years ago and just loved her technique, variety and the way she constructs points. 

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Woohoo! C'mon Emma!

 

As someone who is very much a fairweather tennis watcher, what's the deal with Raducanu? I watched the US Open final, but as far as I understand things haven't been so good since then? Is jury still out a bit on whether that was a one-off? Or has she just been keeping her schedule light?

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Well, there won't be many stranger matches than that at this tournament. Raducanu was inconsistent, but Stephens was just really disappointing. My god her volleys were so bad!

 

Still impressive that Raducanu can play worse than in any match at the US, and still get through one of the toughest first rounders (on paper, anyway) for any seed here.

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Well done, Emma! Hopefully on the comeback trail after some disappointing results since the US Open. She's so young, it's not surprising it was a bit overwhelming for her afterwards, but she certainly looks back in the zone based on today's result. Any player who really turns up for the Slams is a winner.

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9 hours ago, John0 said:

As someone who is very much a fairweather tennis watcher, what's the deal with Raducanu? I watched the US Open final, but as far as I understand things haven't been so good since then? Is jury still out a bit on whether that was a one-off? Or has she just been keeping her schedule light?


It’s way too early to know how far she can go, right? Today was the first time she’s played a three set match on the WTA tour or something crazy like that - she didn’t lose a set in the entire US Open + qualifying, and in the very few matches she’s played since, she’s been beaten in two. Stephens sounds like she didn’t get great prep for this tournament either, but that’s still a pretty big scalp in the first round of a grand slam. 

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